I’ll be on campus on Monday and Wednesday (Dec 5th and 7th) so if anyone wants to meet with me to discuss the project, etc., I’ll be available between 10:15am and 11:15am on both days. I have some flexibility so, if you want to meet but these times don’t work for you, then please suggest a different time.

A while back I mentioned that I recently served on Dominik Hose’s PhD thesis committee and that some of the results I presented in lecture were taken from his thesis. More than that, Dominik’s work has greatly influenced my thinking and latest efforts on valid and efficient imprecise-probabilistic inference. Previously, I wasn’t able to post a copy of Dominik’s thesis publicly, due to some copyright-related concerns, but now apparently those concerns have been resolved. Dominik’s PhD thesis is now available here, and I strongly encourage folks interested in imprecise probability and statistical inference look over this carefully.

“There’s no amount of probability that’s going to get you out of having to deal with randomness” — Paul Portesi (Nov 21st, 2022)

Here’s a recent paper posted to arXiv by Ben O’Neill, explores the relationships between probability and (all-or-nothing) possibility. The focus is mainly on the differences between “probability-zero sets” and “impossibility”.

The fourth homework set has been posted, see the homework page for details. This will probably be the last of the homework assignments.